Cruz Azul vs Halcones de Morelos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.4%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.1%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.4%
14.2%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
ZAM
1 - 1
CAZ
40%
27%
33%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
CAZ
5 - 1
PDC
37%
25%
39%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | +2 |
| 13 Oct. 2017 |
CAN
0 - 3
CAZ
34%
27%
39%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2017 |
CAZ
3 - 1
JAS
66%
19%
15%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2017 |
AME
2 - 1
CAZ
60%
22%
18%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Halcones de Morelos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2017 |
HAL
2 - 3
JAG
57%
22%
21%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
PAC
1 - 2
HAL
41%
26%
34%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
IRA
5 - 0
HAL
68%
19%
14%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2017 |
ZAM
1 - 1
HAL
55%
23%
23%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
CAN
4 - 2
HAL
31%
25%
44%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | -1 |