Cruz Azul vs Durango analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.7%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
25.3%
20%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2010 |
GUE
1 - 0
CAZ
17%
26%
57%
|
67 | 52 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2010 |
CAZ
3 - 1
VER
38%
28%
34%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
UDG
1 - 1
CAZ
28%
27%
45%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2010 |
CAZ
2 - 0
IRA
40%
27%
33%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
NEC
1 - 0
CAZ
67%
21%
13%
|
66 | 81 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Durango
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
DUR
1 - 2
MER
36%
27%
38%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2010 |
ORI
1 - 1
DUR
45%
28%
28%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
DUR
1 - 3
UAT
45%
27%
28%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2010 |
REB
0 - 2
DUR
52%
26%
23%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
DUR
1 - 3
LEO
31%
26%
43%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | -1 |