Cruz Azul vs Deportivo Tepic JAP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.2%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.3%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.1%
9.7%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
AEM
0 - 0
CAZ
39%
27%
35%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
CAZ
0 - 1
QUE
64%
20%
16%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
IRA
0 - 0
CAZ
59%
25%
17%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
CAZ
2 - 3
PAC
72%
17%
11%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2016 |
LEO
3 - 0
CAZ
34%
27%
40%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Deportivo Tepic JAP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2016 |
QUE
1 - 0
TEP
62%
22%
17%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
TEP
1 - 1
PAC
38%
26%
36%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
TEM
2 - 1
TEP
72%
18%
10%
|
43 | 58 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
TEP
0 - 1
ZAM
21%
24%
56%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
NEX
0 - 1
TEP
74%
16%
10%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | +2 |