Cruz Azul vs Ballenas Galeana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.5%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
22.8%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
CAZ
1 - 0
DOR
32%
27%
41%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
TOR
2 - 2
CAZ
49%
26%
25%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
CAZ
0 - 0
MER
38%
27%
35%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
EST
1 - 1
CAZ
62%
23%
16%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
CAZ
1 - 2
AUR
39%
28%
33%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Ballenas Galeana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
TOR
1 - 2
BAL
54%
25%
21%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
BAL
0 - 4
MER
37%
28%
35%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
EST
5 - 0
BAL
61%
23%
16%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
BAL
1 - 1
AUR
35%
28%
38%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
NEC
1 - 0
BAL
59%
24%
17%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | -1 |