Cruz Azul vs Atl. Chiapas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.6%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.3%
9.7%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
DOR
1 - 1
CAZ
60%
23%
17%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
CAZ
1 - 0
TOR
40%
26%
34%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
MER
3 - 1
CAZ
53%
26%
22%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
CAZ
2 - 1
EST
33%
27%
41%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
AUR
1 - 0
CAZ
50%
26%
24%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Atl. Chiapas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
ACH
1 - 2
CUA
31%
24%
45%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
ACH
3 - 2
HID
61%
21%
18%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2014 |
PUM
3 - 2
ACH
65%
20%
15%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
ACH
0 - 1
CAN
45%
25%
30%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
PDC
4 - 1
ACH
65%
20%
15%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | -1 |