Cruz Azul vs Altamira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.1%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
24.1%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
CAZ
2 - 2
UAT
45%
27%
28%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
TOR
1 - 1
CAZ
57%
24%
19%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
CAZ
1 - 1
VER
44%
27%
30%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
LAP
1 - 0
CAZ
45%
27%
28%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
CAZ
1 - 0
IRA
38%
28%
35%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Altamira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
ALT
0 - 1
TOR
33%
27%
40%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
VER
1 - 0
ALT
51%
25%
24%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
ALT
1 - 0
LAP
40%
27%
33%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
IRA
6 - 1
ALT
56%
24%
20%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
ALT
3 - 1
PUM
40%
28%
33%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | +1 |