Crusaders vs PSNI analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.1%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.9%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.1%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
14%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
14%
6.9%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
GLE
0 - 1
CRU
50%
23%
27%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
CRU
1 - 0
CLI
51%
23%
25%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2017 |
GLE
0 - 3
CRU
22%
25%
53%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2017 |
CRU
2 - 0
ARD
75%
16%
9%
|
73 | 56 | 17 | -1 |
| 03 Jan. 2017 |
ARD
2 - 4
CRU
22%
24%
54%
|
72 | 57 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
PSNI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
PSN
1 - 0
INS
44%
24%
32%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2017 |
DER
0 - 0
PSN
34%
25%
41%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2017 |
PSN
2 - 2
LIS
77%
15%
8%
|
54 | 38 | 16 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 2016 |
ARC
0 - 1
PSN
38%
25%
38%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 2016 |
WAR
3 - 0
PSN
61%
22%
17%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | -1 |