Crusaders vs Portadown analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.2%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
26.9%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
50
4º
9º
5º
46
4º
11º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
76 | 76 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
54 | 54 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 54 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
|
5º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
49 | 49 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
46 | 46 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
46 | 46 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
43 | 43 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
39 | 39 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
18 | 18 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
COL
0 - 2
CRU
48%
25%
27%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2025 |
GLE
4 - 2
CRU
47%
24%
29%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
CRU
1 - 5
DUN
47%
25%
29%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 2025 |
CRU
1 - 3
LAR
51%
26%
24%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2025 |
CRU
3 - 0
KNO
84%
12%
5%
|
71 | 44 | 27 | +1 |
Matches
Portadown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
POR
1 - 3
LIN
44%
26%
30%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
LOU
0 - 1
POR
32%
25%
43%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | +1 |
| 04 Jan. 2025 |
AUN
3 - 2
POR
35%
24%
41%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Dec. 2024 |
POR
0 - 2
GLE
44%
26%
30%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 2024 |
GLE
2 - 0
POR
31%
26%
43%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |