Crusaders vs Portadown analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.2%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.9%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
21%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
17.7%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2014 |
CRU
2 - 1
GLE
60%
22%
18%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
CRU
4 - 1
ARD
82%
13%
5%
|
72 | 50 | 22 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
CRU
1 - 0
BAL
69%
19%
12%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2014 |
COL
1 - 0
CRU
25%
24%
51%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
CRU
5 - 0
BAL
78%
14%
8%
|
71 | 53 | 18 | +1 |
Matches
Portadown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
POR
3 - 0
WAR
75%
16%
9%
|
64 | 51 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
ARD
1 - 2
POR
18%
23%
59%
|
64 | 50 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
POR
1 - 2
LIN
36%
26%
39%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
COL
2 - 3
POR
36%
25%
39%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
GLE
4 - 2
POR
44%
24%
33%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | -1 |