Q. Europa League Second Round Final
Global 2-6
Crusaders vs Olimpija Ljubljana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.7%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.8%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
35.3%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2018 |
CRU
1 - 2
LAR
77%
15%
8%
|
70 | 54 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2018 |
OLI
5 - 1
CRU
49%
23%
28%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Jul. 2018 |
CRU
0 - 2
LUD
39%
24%
37%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2018 |
LUD
7 - 0
CRU
51%
22%
28%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | -2 |
| 05 Jul. 2018 |
CRU
2 - 1
HAR
78%
14%
8%
|
73 | 55 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Olimpija Ljubljana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2018 |
KRS
0 - 0
OLI
24%
28%
48%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2018 |
OLI
5 - 1
CRU
49%
23%
28%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Jul. 2018 |
GOR
2 - 0
OLI
39%
28%
34%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Jul. 2018 |
QAR
0 - 0
OLI
35%
28%
37%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2018 |
OLI
0 - 1
QAR
56%
24%
20%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | -1 |