Crusaders vs Lisburn Distillery analysis

Crusaders Lisburn Distillery
70 ELO 50
11.2% Tilt 10.9%
1596º General ELO ranking 6193º
Country ELO ranking 35º
ELO win probability
78.4%
Crusaders
14.1%
Draw
7.6%
Lisburn Distillery

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.3%
Win probability
Crusaders
2.6
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.9%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.1%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.8%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.1%
7.6%
Win probability
Lisburn Distillery
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Crusaders
-11%
-5%
Lisburn Distillery

ELO progression

Crusaders
Lisburn Distillery
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Crusaders
Crusaders
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Nov. 2012
CRU
Crusaders
5 - 1
Glenavon
GLE
77%
15%
8%
70 54 16 0
27 Oct. 2012
CRU
Crusaders
1 - 1
Coleraine
COL
55%
24%
21%
70 68 2 0
20 Oct. 2012
BAL
Ballinamallard United
0 - 2
Crusaders
CRU
32%
26%
43%
69 62 7 +1
13 Oct. 2012
CRU
Crusaders
3 - 1
Cliftonville
CLI
46%
25%
29%
68 70 2 +1
09 Oct. 2012
CAR
Carrick Rangers
3 - 4
Crusaders
CRU
26%
22%
52%
68 54 14 0

Matches

Lisburn Distillery
Lisburn Distillery
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Nov. 2012
BAL
Ballinamallard United
2 - 0
Lisburn Distillery
LIS
63%
21%
16%
51 61 10 0
27 Oct. 2012
DUN
Dungannon Swifts
1 - 1
Lisburn Distillery
LIS
57%
22%
21%
51 55 4 0
20 Oct. 2012
LIS
Lisburn Distillery
0 - 4
Ballymena United
BAL
36%
25%
40%
52 61 9 -1
13 Oct. 2012
DON
Donegal Celtic
0 - 3
Lisburn Distillery
LIS
39%
24%
38%
51 46 5 +1
09 Oct. 2012
LIS
Lisburn Distillery
9 - 0
Coagh United
COA
49%
22%
29%
49 49 0 +2