Crusaders vs Lisburn Distillery analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.3%
Win probability
2.6
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.9%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.1%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.8%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.1%
7.6%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
CRU
5 - 1
GLE
77%
15%
8%
|
70 | 54 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
CRU
1 - 1
COL
55%
24%
21%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
BAL
0 - 2
CRU
32%
26%
43%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
CRU
3 - 1
CLI
46%
25%
29%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2012 |
CAR
3 - 4
CRU
26%
22%
52%
|
68 | 54 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Lisburn Distillery
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2012 |
BAL
2 - 0
LIS
63%
21%
16%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
DUN
1 - 1
LIS
57%
22%
21%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
LIS
0 - 4
BAL
36%
25%
40%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
DON
0 - 3
LIS
39%
24%
38%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2012 |
LIS
9 - 0
COA
49%
22%
29%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | +2 |