Crusaders vs Lisburn Distillery analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
83.2%
Win probability
2.74
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.7%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.1%
4-0
8.8%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.8%
3-0
12.9%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.4%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
11.8%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
11.8%
5%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
CRU
1 - 0
GLE
82%
12%
6%
|
72 | 53 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2012 |
GLE
0 - 4
CRU
12%
17%
71%
|
71 | 54 | 17 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
LIN
5 - 0
CRU
41%
27%
33%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2012 |
DUN
1 - 2
CRU
15%
22%
64%
|
72 | 54 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
COL
0 - 1
CRU
41%
23%
37%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Lisburn Distillery
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
LIS
0 - 2
DUN
49%
24%
27%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
LIS
0 - 2
POR
18%
22%
59%
|
53 | 68 | 15 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2012 |
GLE
1 - 3
LIS
75%
17%
9%
|
51 | 66 | 15 | +2 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
LIS
1 - 3
CLI
18%
23%
59%
|
51 | 68 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
LIS
1 - 2
BAL
46%
23%
31%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | -1 |