Crusaders vs Lisburn Distillery analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
84.9%
Win probability
2.84
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.1%
5-0
5.4%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.8%
4-0
9.5%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.6%
3-0
13.4%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
10%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
10.8%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
10.8%
4.3%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.4%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2011 |
CAR
0 - 7
CRU
19%
21%
60%
|
70 | 53 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
DON
0 - 2
CRU
19%
22%
59%
|
70 | 55 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
GLE
2 - 2
CRU
44%
26%
31%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
CRU
5 - 1
CAR
80%
13%
7%
|
69 | 53 | 16 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
CLI
2 - 1
CRU
38%
25%
37%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Lisburn Distillery
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
LIS
1 - 2
DUN
49%
24%
27%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
LIS
0 - 2
DON
53%
23%
24%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | -2 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
BAL
1 - 0
LIS
55%
23%
22%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
LIS
1 - 3
COL
31%
26%
43%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
GLE
5 - 2
LIS
47%
24%
29%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | -1 |