Crusaders vs Lisburn Distillery analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.6%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.6%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
17%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17%
10.4%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
POR
1 - 3
CRU
37%
24%
39%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2011 |
CRU
0 - 1
LIN
48%
24%
28%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
COL
1 - 3
CRU
35%
25%
40%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
CRU
5 - 0
CLI
65%
20%
15%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
LIS
0 - 1
CRU
30%
25%
45%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Lisburn Distillery
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
LIS
2 - 1
POR
27%
22%
51%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
LIS
2 - 1
POR
29%
25%
47%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
LIN
2 - 0
LIS
68%
20%
12%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2011 |
LIS
0 - 1
BAL
63%
21%
16%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
LIS
0 - 1
CRU
30%
25%
45%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | 0 |