Crusaders vs Lisburn Distillery analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.6%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.6%
12.9%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2009 |
NEW
0 - 1
CRU
34%
27%
40%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2009 |
CRU
1 - 2
INS
67%
20%
13%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2009 |
GLE
1 - 1
CRU
40%
25%
34%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2009 |
CRU
1 - 1
GLE
40%
25%
35%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2009 |
CRU
3 - 4
POR
47%
23%
30%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Lisburn Distillery
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2009 |
LIS
3 - 2
COL
29%
26%
45%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2009 |
BAL
0 - 1
LIS
50%
25%
24%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2009 |
COL
0 - 0
LIS
65%
19%
17%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2009 |
LIS
0 - 3
POR
26%
25%
49%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2009 |
LIN
2 - 0
LIS
71%
19%
10%
|
55 | 72 | 17 | -1 |