Crusaders vs Lisburn Distillery analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.6%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.8%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.8%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
41.6%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2004 |
CRU
2 - 0
LIM
60%
22%
19%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2004 |
CRU
0 - 0
ARD
45%
26%
29%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2004 |
CRU
0 - 0
BAL
45%
25%
30%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2004 |
GLE
2 - 1
CRU
44%
26%
30%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2004 |
DUN
2 - 1
CRU
50%
24%
26%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Lisburn Distillery
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2004 |
LIN
3 - 0
LIS
51%
25%
24%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2004 |
LIS
5 - 0
GLE
66%
21%
13%
|
72 | 56 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2004 |
LIS
0 - 1
LIM
75%
17%
8%
|
72 | 56 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2004 |
LIS
1 - 2
OMA
61%
23%
17%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2004 |
BAL
1 - 4
LIS
39%
26%
34%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | +1 |