Crusaders vs Lisburn Distillery analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.4%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
23%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2001 |
LIS
2 - 1
CRU
47%
26%
27%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2001 |
CRU
1 - 3
LIN
35%
26%
39%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2001 |
OMA
0 - 2
CRU
55%
24%
22%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2001 |
CRU
0 - 2
GLE
33%
26%
41%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2001 |
CRU
0 - 1
GLE
34%
26%
40%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Lisburn Distillery
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2001 |
LIS
2 - 1
CRU
47%
26%
27%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2001 |
LIS
1 - 1
BAN
58%
23%
19%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2001 |
LAR
2 - 8
LIS
36%
26%
38%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2001 |
LIS
0 - 0
ARD
51%
24%
25%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2001 |
ARC
0 - 3
LIS
45%
25%
30%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | +1 |