Crusaders vs Lisburn Distillery analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.5%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.8%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.4%
15.2%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 1999 |
GLE
2 - 0
CRU
56%
24%
20%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1999 |
CRU
2 - 4
POR
59%
23%
19%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 1999 |
CLI
1 - 1
CRU
35%
28%
36%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1999 |
CRU
1 - 3
COL
63%
22%
15%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 1999 |
CRU
1 - 0
NEW
54%
23%
23%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Lisburn Distillery
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 1999 |
LIS
0 - 1
CLI
61%
22%
18%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1999 |
LIS
1 - 2
LIN
36%
26%
38%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 1999 |
NEW
2 - 1
LIS
60%
22%
18%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1999 |
GLE
3 - 1
LIS
64%
21%
16%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1999 |
LIS
3 - 4
BAL
60%
22%
19%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | -1 |