Crusaders vs Linfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.4%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
30.1%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2022 |
COL
1 - 4
CRU
31%
27%
42%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
GLE
0 - 4
CRU
42%
26%
32%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2022 |
CLI
1 - 2
CRU
45%
24%
32%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
DUN
2 - 4
CRU
12%
21%
67%
|
72 | 50 | 22 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
CRU
2 - 1
WAR
81%
14%
5%
|
72 | 46 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Linfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2022 |
LIN
1 - 1
GLE
46%
26%
29%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
CLI
0 - 0
LIN
44%
26%
30%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
WAR
1 - 2
LIN
11%
20%
69%
|
72 | 45 | 27 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
LIN
5 - 0
DUN
78%
16%
7%
|
72 | 51 | 21 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2022 |
LIN
3 - 2
CRU
44%
26%
30%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |