Crusaders vs Linfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.9%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
25%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2019 |
CRU
5 - 2
GLE
75%
16%
9%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
COL
4 - 2
CRU
24%
23%
54%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2019 |
CRU
3 - 2
GLE
60%
21%
19%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
INS
0 - 6
CRU
5%
14%
81%
|
77 | 54 | 23 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
CRU
3 - 0
DUN
76%
16%
8%
|
78 | 62 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Linfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2019 |
LIN
7 - 0
GLE
55%
22%
23%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2019 |
CAR
0 - 3
LIN
15%
23%
62%
|
75 | 59 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2019 |
BAL
4 - 5
LIN
16%
21%
63%
|
75 | 57 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2019 |
LIN
1 - 0
GLE
71%
18%
11%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
CLI
0 - 1
LIN
31%
26%
43%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |