Crusaders vs Linfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.5%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
23%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
23.5%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
CRU
1 - 1
GLE
62%
20%
18%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2018 |
CRU
1 - 1
COL
65%
20%
15%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2018 |
WAR
1 - 4
CRU
20%
22%
59%
|
72 | 57 | 15 | +7 |
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
CRU
3 - 0
DUN
76%
16%
8%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
CLI
3 - 1
CRU
35%
24%
41%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Linfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
LIN
2 - 0
BAL
65%
21%
14%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2018 |
GLE
2 - 3
LIN
39%
25%
36%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2018 |
BAL
2 - 2
LIN
12%
20%
68%
|
71 | 46 | 25 | +5 |
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
LIN
1 - 1
GLE
61%
23%
17%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2018 |
LIN
0 - 1
CLI
49%
24%
28%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |