Crusaders vs Linfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.6%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
24.7%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2017 |
DUN
1 - 2
CRU
28%
23%
50%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
ARD
2 - 4
CRU
20%
23%
57%
|
72 | 57 | 15 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2017 |
CRU
2 - 0
BAL
85%
11%
4%
|
72 | 49 | 23 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2017 |
LIN
2 - 5
CRU
40%
26%
35%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2017 |
CRU
3 - 2
COL
54%
23%
24%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Linfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2017 |
BAL
2 - 1
LIN
40%
24%
36%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
BAL
0 - 6
LIN
12%
21%
68%
|
69 | 48 | 21 | +2 |
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
LIN
2 - 0
ARD
66%
20%
14%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2017 |
LIN
2 - 5
CRU
40%
26%
35%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
COL
2 - 1
LIN
43%
26%
31%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | -1 |