Crusaders vs Linfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.2%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
24.4%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
BAL
1 - 5
CRU
12%
21%
67%
|
72 | 50 | 22 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2017 |
CRU
3 - 2
MOT
90%
8%
2%
|
72 | 40 | 32 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2017 |
CRU
2 - 1
DUN
85%
11%
4%
|
73 | 48 | 25 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
CLI
1 - 2
CRU
33%
26%
42%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
CRU
1 - 2
COL
63%
21%
16%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Linfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
LIN
1 - 0
GLE
62%
22%
16%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2017 |
SPA
1 - 2
LIN
9%
15%
76%
|
72 | 47 | 25 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2017 |
LIN
6 - 0
LIS
81%
14%
5%
|
73 | 47 | 26 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
LIN
1 - 0
BAL
63%
21%
16%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
DUN
0 - 4
LIN
25%
25%
50%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | 0 |