Crusaders vs Linfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.2%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
26.1%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 2016 |
CLI
0 - 4
CRU
45%
25%
30%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
CRU
3 - 1
GLE
48%
24%
28%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
BAL
0 - 1
CRU
12%
21%
67%
|
72 | 51 | 21 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
CRU
2 - 2
GLE
69%
19%
13%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
DUN
0 - 1
CRU
27%
25%
48%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Linfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 2016 |
LIN
1 - 1
GLE
66%
20%
13%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
LIN
2 - 1
BAL
58%
22%
20%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
ARD
0 - 2
LIN
20%
23%
57%
|
72 | 56 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
LIN
3 - 0
CAR
72%
18%
10%
|
71 | 56 | 15 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
POR
0 - 5
LIN
18%
23%
59%
|
71 | 53 | 18 | 0 |