Crusaders vs Linfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.1%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.9%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
30.6%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
POR
1 - 1
CRU
16%
22%
62%
|
72 | 51 | 21 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2017 |
DUN
1 - 2
CRU
26%
24%
49%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
CRU
2 - 1
BAL
61%
21%
18%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
CRU
2 - 0
PSN
79%
14%
7%
|
73 | 54 | 19 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
GLE
0 - 1
CRU
50%
23%
27%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Linfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
GLE
0 - 1
LIN
21%
26%
54%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2017 |
LIN
1 - 1
POR
78%
16%
7%
|
72 | 51 | 21 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
CAR
0 - 2
LIN
16%
22%
61%
|
72 | 53 | 19 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
INS
0 - 2
LIN
10%
17%
73%
|
73 | 54 | 19 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
DUN
1 - 4
LIN
28%
25%
47%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | +1 |