Crusaders vs Linfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.4%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.5%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
26.9%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2016 |
GLE
4 - 3
CRU
52%
21%
27%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2016 |
BAL
0 - 1
CRU
13%
21%
66%
|
72 | 54 | 18 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
CRU
2 - 0
DUN
75%
16%
9%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2016 |
CAR
4 - 3
CRU
16%
22%
62%
|
72 | 54 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
CAR
0 - 4
CRU
11%
20%
69%
|
79 | 56 | 23 | -7 |
Matches
Linfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
LIN
3 - 0
LCE
70%
18%
12%
|
73 | 56 | 17 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2016 |
WAR
2 - 6
LIN
18%
23%
60%
|
72 | 55 | 17 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2016 |
LIN
2 - 1
BAL
76%
17%
8%
|
72 | 54 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
CLI
0 - 2
LIN
42%
25%
34%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | -4 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
LIN
3 - 0
GLE
66%
21%
14%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |