Crusaders vs Linfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.4%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
26%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 2014 |
CLI
0 - 1
CRU
49%
24%
27%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2014 |
CRU
1 - 0
DUN
82%
13%
6%
|
72 | 53 | 19 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2014 |
BAL
0 - 2
CRU
24%
23%
53%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2014 |
CRU
2 - 3
POR
58%
22%
21%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
INS
1 - 1
CRU
14%
21%
65%
|
72 | 54 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Linfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 2014 |
LIN
2 - 1
GLE
55%
24%
22%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2014 |
LIN
3 - 2
POR
52%
24%
25%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2014 |
LIN
3 - 0
BAL
74%
17%
9%
|
72 | 55 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2014 |
BAL
2 - 3
LIN
25%
24%
51%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
LIN
2 - 1
COL
69%
20%
12%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | 0 |