Crusaders vs Linfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.5%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
30.1%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2013 |
LIS
1 - 1
CRU
15%
20%
65%
|
73 | 51 | 22 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
COL
1 - 3
CRU
30%
25%
45%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
CRU
1 - 1
LIS
79%
14%
7%
|
72 | 50 | 22 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
CRU
1 - 1
DUN
82%
13%
5%
|
72 | 53 | 19 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
CRU
4 - 1
GLE
75%
15%
10%
|
73 | 55 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
Linfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
LIN
1 - 1
LIS
78%
15%
6%
|
72 | 50 | 22 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
LIN
2 - 0
POR
63%
22%
15%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
GLE
1 - 1
LIN
29%
25%
47%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
DUN
1 - 4
LIN
13%
20%
67%
|
72 | 52 | 20 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
LIN
2 - 2
BAL
68%
20%
12%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | 0 |