Crusaders vs Linfield analysis

Crusaders Linfield
66 ELO 72
18% Tilt 14.4%
1596º General ELO ranking 1594º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
39.9%
Crusaders
25.2%
Draw
34.8%
Linfield

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40%
Win probability
Crusaders
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.8%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
34.8%
Win probability
Linfield
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Crusaders
-5%
+14%
Linfield

ELO progression

Crusaders
Linfield
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Crusaders
Crusaders
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Nov. 2010
DUN
Dungannon Swifts
2 - 3
Crusaders
CRU
33%
25%
42%
65 57 8 0
06 Nov. 2010
GLE
Glentoran
3 - 1
Crusaders
CRU
51%
25%
24%
66 69 3 -1
30 Oct. 2010
CRU
Crusaders
2 - 0
Coleraine
COL
62%
20%
17%
65 61 4 +1
23 Oct. 2010
CRU
Crusaders
2 - 1
Loughgall
LOU
63%
20%
18%
65 59 6 0
18 Oct. 2010
LIN
Linfield
8 - 1
Crusaders
CRU
54%
25%
21%
66 72 6 -1

Matches

Linfield
Linfield
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Nov. 2010
LIN
Linfield
6 - 2
Donegal Celtic
DON
75%
17%
8%
72 54 18 0
06 Nov. 2010
POR
Portadown
1 - 2
Linfield
LIN
32%
26%
43%
72 63 9 0
30 Oct. 2010
BAL
Ballymena United
3 - 3
Linfield
LIN
22%
25%
53%
72 59 13 0
23 Oct. 2010
NEW
Newry City
1 - 1
Linfield
LIN
18%
22%
60%
73 54 19 -1
18 Oct. 2010
LIN
Linfield
8 - 1
Crusaders
CRU
54%
25%
21%
72 66 6 +1