Crusaders vs Linfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.3%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.6%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.6%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
41.8%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2010 |
POR
2 - 2
CRU
59%
23%
19%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2010 |
CRU
2 - 1
GLE
40%
25%
36%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2010 |
CLI
1 - 0
CRU
53%
25%
23%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2010 |
BAL
2 - 2
CRU
33%
28%
40%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2010 |
LIS
2 - 2
CRU
32%
27%
41%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Linfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2010 |
COL
2 - 4
LIN
36%
23%
41%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2010 |
DUN
0 - 1
LIN
26%
24%
50%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2010 |
LIN
3 - 1
GLE
50%
25%
25%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2010 |
INS
0 - 3
LIN
12%
21%
67%
|
72 | 51 | 21 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2010 |
LIN
1 - 2
GLE
75%
17%
8%
|
72 | 53 | 19 | 0 |