Crusaders vs Linfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.4%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
34.8%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2008 |
COL
2 - 5
CRU
50%
24%
26%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2008 |
CRU
0 - 0
BAN
65%
21%
14%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2008 |
CRU
1 - 2
GLE
68%
19%
13%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2008 |
CRU
3 - 0
GLE
36%
27%
37%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | +2 |
| 01 Nov. 2008 |
GLE
1 - 1
CRU
26%
25%
49%
|
64 | 51 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Linfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2008 |
LIN
2 - 4
GLE
75%
17%
8%
|
71 | 54 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2008 |
INS
1 - 2
LIN
16%
22%
61%
|
71 | 54 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2008 |
DUN
1 - 4
LIN
27%
23%
50%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2008 |
LIN
3 - 1
DUN
67%
20%
12%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2008 |
NEW
1 - 1
LIN
27%
25%
48%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |