Crusaders vs Linfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.6%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.2%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
57.2%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17.3%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
10%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2008 |
CRU
1 - 0
DUN
51%
25%
24%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2008 |
BAL
2 - 2
CRU
50%
25%
25%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2008 |
ARC
1 - 5
CRU
34%
24%
42%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2008 |
POR
2 - 0
CRU
66%
20%
14%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2008 |
CRU
1 - 1
ARC
66%
20%
14%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Linfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2008 |
LIN
2 - 1
ARC
78%
15%
7%
|
72 | 52 | 20 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2008 |
POR
2 - 5
LIN
47%
25%
28%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2008 |
LOU
0 - 3
LIN
20%
21%
59%
|
72 | 55 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2008 |
LIN
0 - 0
CLI
54%
25%
22%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2008 |
LIM
0 - 4
LIN
20%
23%
58%
|
72 | 56 | 16 | 0 |