Crusaders vs Linfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.6%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.9%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
39.7%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2008 |
CLI
0 - 1
CRU
58%
23%
19%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2008 |
CRU
2 - 1
LIM
70%
19%
11%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2008 |
CRU
0 - 2
GLE
35%
26%
39%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2008 |
GLE
0 - 4
CRU
28%
25%
47%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2008 |
CRU
4 - 1
NEW
48%
25%
28%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Linfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2008 |
GLE
0 - 2
LIN
17%
21%
62%
|
72 | 53 | 19 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2008 |
LIN
0 - 0
GLE
49%
25%
27%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2008 |
LIN
5 - 0
NEW
65%
20%
14%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2008 |
CLI
1 - 2
LIN
42%
24%
34%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2008 |
COL
1 - 4
LIN
29%
24%
47%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | +1 |