Crusaders vs Linfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
36.6%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 2006 |
CLI
4 - 2
CRU
43%
29%
28%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2006 |
CRU
0 - 3
LIM
71%
18%
10%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2006 |
CRU
1 - 3
GLE
46%
26%
29%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2006 |
GLE
0 - 1
CRU
28%
27%
46%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2006 |
CRU
1 - 0
NEW
55%
23%
22%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Linfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 2006 |
LIN
1 - 1
GLE
53%
24%
24%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2006 |
GLE
2 - 4
LIN
19%
22%
59%
|
72 | 56 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2006 |
LIN
2 - 0
NEW
64%
20%
16%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2006 |
COL
2 - 2
LIN
25%
23%
52%
|
72 | 57 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2006 |
LIN
7 - 0
LOU
82%
13%
5%
|
72 | 52 | 20 | 0 |