Crusaders vs Linfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.9%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.6%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
42.1%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2003 |
INS
1 - 3
CRU
58%
23%
19%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2003 |
CRU
3 - 2
LAR
53%
23%
23%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2003 |
LIS
2 - 1
CRU
59%
24%
18%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2003 |
LIM
2 - 3
CRU
36%
27%
38%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2003 |
CRU
4 - 1
OMA
36%
26%
38%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | +2 |
Matches
Linfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2003 |
NEW
1 - 2
LIN
29%
26%
45%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2003 |
LIN
6 - 0
INS
60%
22%
19%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2003 |
LIN
3 - 2
LIM
86%
11%
4%
|
72 | 48 | 24 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2003 |
LIS
1 - 1
LIN
37%
27%
36%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2003 |
LIN
4 - 1
BAL
67%
20%
13%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | 0 |