Crusaders vs Linfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.2%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.7%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.3%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
42.9%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2002 |
CRU
0 - 2
GLE
42%
25%
33%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2002 |
INS
2 - 0
CRU
61%
21%
18%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2002 |
CRU
0 - 3
OMA
41%
25%
34%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2002 |
GLE
4 - 0
CRU
66%
20%
13%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2002 |
CRU
0 - 0
COL
33%
24%
43%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Linfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2002 |
LIN
3 - 1
ARD
74%
17%
8%
|
72 | 55 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2002 |
GLE
0 - 0
LIN
38%
27%
36%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2002 |
LIN
1 - 1
STB
36%
26%
38%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2002 |
INS
1 - 0
LIN
31%
26%
43%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2002 |
STB
4 - 0
LIN
65%
20%
15%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |