Crusaders vs Linfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.2%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
36.3%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2000 |
GLE
1 - 0
CRU
62%
22%
16%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2000 |
CRU
2 - 0
LIS
60%
22%
18%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2000 |
GLE
1 - 2
CRU
68%
20%
13%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2000 |
CRU
0 - 1
POR
44%
26%
30%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2000 |
NEW
2 - 0
CRU
49%
26%
26%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Linfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2000 |
POR
0 - 2
LIN
50%
24%
26%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2000 |
LIN
1 - 2
CLI
65%
22%
13%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2000 |
LIN
3 - 2
NEW
58%
23%
19%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2000 |
COL
2 - 1
LIN
45%
26%
29%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2000 |
BAL
0 - 1
LIN
33%
26%
40%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |