Crusaders vs Linfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.5%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
27.2%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 1999 |
GLE
2 - 0
CRU
48%
26%
26%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1999 |
CRU
0 - 3
GLE
52%
25%
23%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 1999 |
NEW
3 - 0
CRU
44%
26%
30%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1999 |
POR
0 - 0
CRU
40%
27%
33%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1999 |
CLI
1 - 1
CRU
35%
28%
37%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Linfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 1999 |
LIN
2 - 1
CLI
65%
22%
14%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1999 |
GLE
2 - 2
LIN
44%
26%
30%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1999 |
LIN
1 - 1
COL
68%
20%
12%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1999 |
OMA
1 - 5
LIN
26%
25%
49%
|
72 | 52 | 20 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1999 |
LIN
2 - 1
NEW
57%
23%
20%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |