Crusaders vs Linfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.7%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.8%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.4%
15%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 1998 |
GLE
2 - 2
CRU
44%
26%
30%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1998 |
CRU
3 - 0
COL
59%
22%
19%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1998 |
CRU
1 - 0
ARD
75%
17%
8%
|
72 | 55 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1997 |
CRU
3 - 4
BAL
63%
21%
16%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1997 |
POR
3 - 2
CRU
53%
24%
23%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Linfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 1998 |
LIN
0 - 1
CLI
48%
28%
24%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1998 |
BAL
0 - 2
LIN
54%
24%
23%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Jan. 1998 |
LIN
1 - 1
POR
41%
28%
31%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1997 |
GLE
1 - 1
LIN
54%
24%
22%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1997 |
LIN
0 - 0
OMA
48%
26%
25%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | -1 |