Crusaders vs Linfield analysis

Crusaders Linfield
72 ELO 68
4.3% Tilt -4%
1600º General ELO ranking 1593º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
64.7%
Crusaders
20.4%
Draw
15%
Linfield

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.7%
Win probability
Crusaders
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.8%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.4%
15%
Win probability
Linfield
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Crusaders
-5%
+13%
Linfield

ELO progression

Crusaders
Linfield
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Crusaders
Crusaders
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Jan. 1998
GLE
Glenavon
2 - 2
Crusaders
CRU
44%
26%
30%
72 64 8 0
03 Jan. 1998
CRU
Crusaders
3 - 0
Coleraine
COL
59%
22%
19%
72 70 2 0
01 Jan. 1998
CRU
Crusaders
1 - 0
Ards FC
ARD
75%
17%
8%
72 55 17 0
20 Dec. 1997
CRU
Crusaders
3 - 4
Ballymena United
BAL
63%
21%
16%
72 66 6 0
13 Dec. 1997
POR
Portadown
3 - 2
Crusaders
CRU
53%
24%
23%
72 69 3 0

Matches

Linfield
Linfield
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Jan. 1998
LIN
Linfield
0 - 1
Cliftonville
CLI
48%
28%
24%
68 65 3 0
03 Jan. 1998
BAL
Ballymena United
0 - 2
Linfield
LIN
54%
24%
23%
67 66 1 +1
01 Jan. 1998
LIN
Linfield
1 - 1
Portadown
POR
41%
28%
31%
67 70 3 0
26 Dec. 1997
GLE
Glentoran
1 - 1
Linfield
LIN
54%
24%
22%
67 67 0 0
20 Dec. 1997
LIN
Linfield
0 - 0
Omagh Town
OMA
48%
26%
25%
68 64 4 -1