Crusaders vs Linfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.4%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.4%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
17.7%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 1997 |
GLE
1 - 2
CRU
54%
24%
22%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1997 |
CRU
2 - 1
POR
60%
22%
18%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 1997 |
COL
3 - 1
CRU
57%
24%
20%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 1997 |
CRU
1 - 1
GLE
56%
23%
21%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1997 |
CLI
0 - 2
CRU
38%
28%
34%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Linfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 1997 |
LIN
0 - 2
POR
52%
25%
23%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1997 |
GLE
0 - 2
LIN
60%
22%
18%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 1997 |
LIN
2 - 3
CLI
61%
23%
16%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 1997 |
COL
1 - 3
LIN
62%
22%
16%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 1997 |
ARD
4 - 1
LIN
47%
25%
28%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | -1 |