Crusaders vs Linfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.5%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
24%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
21.5%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 1996 |
GLE
2 - 2
CRU
56%
23%
21%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1996 |
POR
1 - 1
CRU
63%
20%
17%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1996 |
CRU
1 - 1
CLI
61%
22%
17%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1996 |
BAN
0 - 2
CRU
39%
27%
34%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 1996 |
ARD
0 - 1
CRU
49%
25%
26%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Linfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 1996 |
LIN
2 - 1
GLE
46%
26%
29%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1996 |
ARD
1 - 2
LIN
51%
25%
24%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1996 |
LIN
2 - 0
GLE
48%
26%
26%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 1996 |
POR
1 - 1
LIN
69%
18%
13%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 1996 |
LIN
3 - 1
CLI
55%
24%
21%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | +1 |