Crusaders vs Linfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
20.4%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 1995 |
GLE
3 - 1
CRU
56%
23%
21%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1995 |
POR
1 - 1
CRU
64%
20%
16%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1995 |
CRU
1 - 0
CLI
56%
23%
20%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 1995 |
BAN
1 - 2
CRU
44%
27%
29%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1995 |
ARD
0 - 0
CRU
54%
24%
23%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Linfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 1995 |
LIN
0 - 3
GLE
52%
24%
24%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1995 |
ARD
2 - 3
LIN
54%
24%
22%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1995 |
LIN
0 - 4
GLE
57%
24%
20%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 1995 |
POR
3 - 2
LIN
63%
21%
16%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 1995 |
LIN
0 - 0
CLI
59%
22%
19%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |