Crusaders vs Limavady analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.3%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
26.6%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2025 |
LIN
2 - 1
CRU
48%
25%
27%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
CRU
3 - 2
POR
48%
25%
27%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
COL
0 - 2
CRU
48%
25%
27%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2025 |
GLE
4 - 2
CRU
47%
24%
29%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
CRU
1 - 5
DUN
47%
25%
29%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Limavady
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
LIM
4 - 0
DUN
51%
24%
25%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2025 |
BAN
1 - 0
LIM
56%
23%
21%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Jan. 2025 |
LIM
1 - 0
LAR
37%
25%
38%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 Dec. 2024 |
LIM
2 - 1
BAL
64%
21%
15%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 2024 |
INS
1 - 1
LIM
32%
26%
42%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |