Crusaders vs Limavady analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.4%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
17.3%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2007 |
CLI
1 - 0
CRU
53%
25%
22%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2007 |
LIM
4 - 5
CRU
40%
25%
36%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2007 |
CRU
1 - 4
CLI
45%
25%
30%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2007 |
DON
3 - 4
CRU
33%
26%
42%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2007 |
LIN
1 - 0
CRU
65%
21%
15%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Limavady
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2007 |
LIM
2 - 1
DON
62%
20%
18%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2007 |
LIM
4 - 5
CRU
40%
25%
36%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2007 |
DON
3 - 2
LIM
48%
24%
28%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2007 |
CLI
2 - 0
LIM
55%
25%
21%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2007 |
CLI
0 - 1
LIM
61%
24%
15%
|
58 | 72 | 14 | +1 |