Crusaders vs Limavady analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.2%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.8%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.4%
10.4%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2006 |
CRU
1 - 3
GLE
46%
26%
29%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2006 |
GLE
0 - 1
CRU
28%
27%
46%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2006 |
CRU
1 - 0
NEW
55%
23%
22%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2006 |
COL
1 - 3
CRU
37%
26%
37%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2006 |
CRU
2 - 1
LOU
76%
16%
7%
|
69 | 53 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Limavady
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2006 |
LIM
0 - 5
LIS
33%
26%
41%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2006 |
GLE
3 - 0
LIM
70%
19%
11%
|
57 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2006 |
LIM
0 - 1
DUN
33%
26%
42%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2006 |
GLE
0 - 1
LIM
47%
25%
28%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2006 |
LIM
1 - 1
BAL
38%
26%
36%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |