Crusaders vs Larne analysis


72	ELO	73
9.6%	Tilt	4.9%
1603º	General ELO ranking	1544º
9º	Country ELO ranking	5º
ELO win probability

48.9%

Crusaders

25.3%

Draw

25.8%

Larne

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of handicap

48.9%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%

25.3%

Draw

0-0

7.3%

1-1

12%

2-2

5%

3-3

0.9%

4-4

0.1%

0

25.3%

25.8%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

-6%

+12%

Points and table prediction

Their league position

CURR.POS.

5º

PTS.

Best position

Worst

EXP.

67

2º

4º

83

1º

PTS.

Best position

Worst

EXP.

CURR.POS.

1º

Expected position in the table

		Final expectations
RK	PTS.	PTS.	RK	PROB
1º	83	11	1º	100%
3º	71	8	2º	55.5%
2º	74	7	3º	55.5%
5º	67	6	4º	55.5%
4º	68	3	5º	60%
6º	59	2	6º	60%

See complete ranking Show less

Expected probabilities

Champions League qualifying phase (1st r	0%	100%
Conference League knock out round	44.5%	0%
Play-offs	55.5%	0%

ELO progression

Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Crusaders

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
11 Apr. 2023	CRU 3 - 1 COL 48% 25% 27%	72	72	0	0
07 Apr. 2023	LIN 0 - 0 CRU 43% 27% 31%	72	72	0	0
01 Apr. 2023	DUN 0 - 1 CRU 12% 17% 71%	73	51	22	-1
25 Mar. 2023	CRU 3 - 0 CAR 76% 16% 8%	72	54	18	+1
18 Mar. 2023	POR 2 - 2 CRU 8% 19% 73%	72	48	24	0

Matches

Larne

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO
11 Apr. 2023	CLI 0 - 2 LAR 47% 26% 27%	72	72	0
07 Apr. 2023	LAR 2 - 0 GLE 41% 27% 31%	72	72	0
31 Mar. 2023	LAR 0 - 2 BAL 63% 21% 16%	72	61	11
25 Mar. 2023	COL 0 - 0 LAR 44% 27% 29%	72	72	0
17 Mar. 2023	LAR 1 - 0 BAL 63% 22% 15%	72	61	11