Crusaders vs Larne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.8%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.6%
12.4%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2008 |
COL
3 - 3
CRU
50%
24%
26%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2008 |
LIS
1 - 0
CRU
60%
23%
17%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2008 |
CLI
1 - 0
CRU
62%
22%
17%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2008 |
CRU
2 - 3
LIN
22%
21%
57%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2008 |
CRU
1 - 0
DUN
51%
25%
24%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Larne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2008 |
LAR
1 - 2
POR
20%
24%
56%
|
49 | 72 | 23 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2008 |
LAR
0 - 3
GLE
18%
22%
61%
|
49 | 72 | 23 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2008 |
GLE
2 - 3
LAR
61%
21%
18%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2008 |
LAR
4 - 2
DON
43%
26%
31%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2008 |
LAR
3 - 0
NEW
21%
23%
56%
|
45 | 63 | 18 | +2 |