Crusaders vs Institute analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
86%
Win probability
2.87
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.3%
5-0
5.8%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7.2%
4-0
10%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
13%
3-0
14%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.4%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.8%
10.2%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
10.2%
3.8%
Win probability
0.47
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.1%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
CRU
1 - 0
WAR
84%
11%
5%
|
72 | 50 | 22 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
BAL
2 - 4
CRU
27%
24%
49%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
CRU
5 - 0
CAR
75%
16%
9%
|
72 | 57 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
COL
1 - 1
CRU
22%
24%
54%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
CRU
3 - 0
LIN
53%
23%
24%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
INS
1 - 1
BAL
38%
24%
38%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
INS
3 - 0
LCE
29%
24%
46%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | +2 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
KNO
1 - 0
INS
60%
20%
20%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
INS
1 - 1
LAR
34%
25%
42%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2015 |
INS
5 - 2
SYL
41%
25%
34%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | +2 |