Crusaders vs Institute analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.2%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.6%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
15.1%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2008 |
NEW
3 - 1
CRU
34%
27%
39%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2008 |
CRU
2 - 2
DUN
63%
22%
15%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2008 |
CRU
3 - 1
CLI
52%
25%
23%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2008 |
LIS
1 - 2
CRU
53%
25%
22%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2008 |
CRU
2 - 0
BAL
60%
22%
18%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2008 |
INS
2 - 1
GLE
51%
26%
24%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2008 |
GLE
1 - 0
INS
75%
16%
9%
|
56 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2008 |
INS
2 - 0
DUN
38%
28%
34%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2008 |
GLE
0 - 1
INS
47%
25%
28%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2008 |
NEW
1 - 1
INS
53%
24%
23%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |