Crusaders vs Institute analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.3%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.6%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
16.5%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
NEW
0 - 1
CRU
24%
25%
51%
|
67 | 55 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
CRU
4 - 2
CLI
50%
25%
24%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2009 |
POR
2 - 5
CRU
49%
23%
28%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | +2 |
| 03 Mar. 2009 |
INS
2 - 2
CRU
28%
27%
45%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2009 |
LIS
2 - 0
CRU
43%
27%
31%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
GLE
4 - 2
INS
70%
19%
11%
|
58 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2009 |
NEW
2 - 1
INS
38%
27%
36%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
INS
3 - 0
DUN
50%
26%
24%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2009 |
INS
2 - 1
NEW
40%
24%
36%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2009 |
INS
2 - 2
CRU
28%
27%
45%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |